The narrative surrounding Arsenal under Mikel Arteta has shifted dramatically over the past three seasons. From a team lacking identity to genuine title contenders, the progress is undeniable.

City away from home is the acid test for any European club. For Arsenal, dropping points here would reopen old questions about their ability to control decisive moments.

Looking at the expected goals metric from previous encounters, Arsenal has often created high-quality chances against City but failed to convert key moments.

Bukayo Saka’s duel with the opposition full-back could decide the rhythm of the match. If Saka can isolate his marker, Arsenal will have a clear route into the final third.